Sunday, December 10, 2017

#Bitcoin Review $GBTC

Bitcoin Review
Those that view the message of the market on daily basis are likely confused by trading noise. While trading noise contributes to the long-term trends, it does not define them. Human behavior tries to explain trading noise as a meaningful trend. This confuses the majority which, in turn, contributes to their role as bagholders of trend transitions.

Bitcoin's overall trend, revealed by trends of price, leverage, and time, are defined and discussed in the The Matrix for subscribers.

Subscriber Comments

Secondary and primary trend alignment defines a power multi-month rally since 7/2015 (see The Matrix). Traders follow these trends as long as alignment and TIME permit.

While the tertiary (daily) trend is the most volatile and least influential of the fractal trends, it's generally the domain of short term traders. The tertiary trend, aligned up for the past 28 days, has moved beyond its cycle mid point. BuST = 0.6 defines upside alignment approaching one standard deviation (chart). Traders buying past the cycle mid point are no longer early, undisciplined (trade with bias), and should generally be ignored. The cycle of TIME is not a hard sell signal but rather a risk management tool. Traders should reduce risk as BuST rises. Readings above 1.96 define define an observation that exceeds 95%+ of the previous aligned up impulse. Anyone holding or, worse yet, buying BuST above 1.96 are betting this time is different. Maybe it is, but smart money does not consistently accumulate wealth buying these odds.

Tertiary Trend


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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

Saturday, December 9, 2017

#Gold Review $GLD

Gold Review
Those that view the message of the market on daily basis are likely confused by trading noise. While trading noise contributes to the long-term trends, it does not define them. Human behavior tries to explain trading noise as a meaningful trend. This confuses the majority which, in turn, contributes to their role as bagholders of trend transitions.

Gold's overall trend, revealed by trends of price, leverage, and time, are defined and discussed in the The Matrix for subscribers.

Subscriber Comments

Secondary and primary trend misalignment defines a market nearing a decisive downside breakout (see The Matrix). Many bulls are citing an upward bias in December as a reason to buy. Seasonality, a guide to the trend, does not define it. I've often seen favorable seasonal trend destroyed by the tape - price and volume. The secondary trend is displaying downside alignment, and the primary trend is weakening fast. Downside alignment in the major and juniors (gold shares) and a bear phase in the precious metals composite, leading trends for the precious metals sector, advises extreme caution for the bulls.

Traders follow these trends as long as alignment and TIME permit.

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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

#Matrix Update $SPY $TLT $GLD $SLV $UUP $FXE

The Matrix
The Matrix, an array that display the message of price, volume, leverage, and time, helps subscribers recognize buying and selling opportunities to buy or sell commodities, US treasury bonds, foreign exchange markets, and domestic and international equity markets.

The Matrix has been redesigned to display not only leverage but also price and volume alignment. Price and volume alignment anticipates future prices better than price and leverage alignment.

Gain access to the message of the market to trade like a professional today.

The Matrix will be open to the public throughout December as a holiday gift for all subscribers and readers.


The Matrix



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Australian Dollar   British Pound   Canadian Dollar   Cocoa   Coffee   Copper   Corn   Cotton   Crude Oil   Euro   Heating Oil   Gasoline   Gold   Lean Hogs   Live Cattle   Lumber   Nasdaq 100   Natural Gas   Nikkei   Palladium   Platinum   Russell 2000   S&P 500   Silver   Soybeans   Sugar   Swiss Franc   US Dollar Index   US 10YR Bonds   US Treasury Bonds   Wheat   Yen


Insights is a forum that uses the markets as the ultimate teacher and provides unique perspective on capital market, economic, and geopolitical trends.

NEW Facebook Group has been created to encourage additional conversations about the the Matrix, Intermarket Analysis, Long-Term Cycle Concentrations & Directions, the cycle of Accumulation & Distribution - the secret weapon of past trading masters like Richard Wyckoff and Jesse Livermore, as well as other interesting trading concepts. Please join the ongoing discussion.


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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

Friday, December 8, 2017

#Biotech Stocks Review $XBI

Biotech Review
Those that view the message of the market on daily basis are likely confused by trading noise. While trading noise contributes to the long-term trends, it does not define them. Human behavior tries to explain trading noise as a meaningful trend. This confuses the majority which, in turn, contributes to their role as bagholders of trend transitions.

Biotech's overall trend, revealed by trends of price, leverage, and time, are defined and discussed in the The Matrix for subscribers.

Subscriber Comments

Secondary and primary trend alignment defines a powerful multi-month rally that entered primary trend alignment in 1/1/2017 (see The Matrix). The bulls follow these trends as long as alignment and TIME permit. Biotechnology stocks represent a maturing trade for 2017, not a destination for fresh money in 2017/2018. Those markets are being identified by the Matrix.

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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

Illinois Attempting To Kick The Can Down The Road A Little Further with Goldman Sachs' Help

News
Illinois, a junk rated credit risk, has just issued new bonds at Triple-A grade employing a "smoke and mirror" technique that give new bondholders first claim on sales tax revenue (see chart). Goldman's jiggering of the books, a trick that solves nothing in bankruptcy, should put outstanding Illinois bond holders into a subordinated position, thus, making them worth less. Cash-strapped states will be eagerly watching to see if the smoke and mirrors lures in fresh money and kicks the can down the road a little further.



Chart


Headline: How Cash-Strapped Chicago Snagged a Triple-A Rating for Its New Bonds

Chicago is running a multimillion-dollar deficit and faces a pension-funding crisis that dwarfs many others around the country.

Yet the nation’s third-largest city is on the verge of selling as much as $3 billion in bonds at a triple-A rating, the latest twist in the tale of cash-strapped U.S. municipalities adopting Wall Street financial engineering in their struggle to raise money in the market.

Echoing...


more

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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

Wednesday, December 6, 2017

Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Review $XOP

Oil&Gas E&P Review
Those that view the message of the market on daily basis are likely confused by trading noise. While trading noise contributes to the long-term trends, it does not define them. Human behavior tries to explain trading noise as a meaningful trend. This confuses the majority which, in turn, contributes to their role as bagholders of trend transitions.

Oil and Gas Exploration and Production's overall trend, revealed by trends of price, leverage, and time, are defined and discussed in the The Matrix and Oil&Gas E&P Review for subscribers.

Subscriber Comments

Secondary and primary trend misalignment defines a transition phase, a trend possibly preparing for a transition downside to upside alignment (see The Matrix). Traders follow these trends as long as alignment and TIME permit.

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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

Tuesday, December 5, 2017

US Treasury #Bonds Review $TLT

US TBonds Review
Those that view the message of the market on daily basis are likely confused by trading noise. While trading noise contributes to the long-term trends, it does not define them. Human behavior tries to explain trading noise as a meaningful trend. This confuses the majority which, in turn, contributes to their role as bagholders of trend transitions.

US Treasury Bond's overall trend, revealed by trends of price, leverage, and time, are defined in the The Matrix for subscribers.

Subscriber Comments

Secondary and primary trend nonalignment defines a trend in flux (see The Matrix). Misalignment, a subtle warning that money is shift from fixed income to US stocks and other movable assets, represents a warning to the bulls. This warning lingers as long as the secondary trend disagrees with the primary trend.

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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.